Systematic Logic.
Full Transparency.
Alpha PSX runs a multi-factor signal engine. Every call is checked against the broader market regime and a mathematical risk-reward gate, and every stop/target multiplier behind it was tested on data the parameter search never saw.
Global Signals
Take-Profits Hit
Stop-Losses Hit
Signals Timed Out
Engine Accuracy
Live figures from every signal Alpha PSX has issued and resolved to date — not a backtest.
The Institutional Pipeline
Retail indicators work in isolation. Our engine works in a pipeline, where each layer must approve the trade before you see a 'BUY' call.
Regime Classifier
Analyzes KSE-100 SMA200 slope, Index ADX, and Bollinger Width to determine if the market is trending, choppy, or in high-volatility rejection.
ADX Chop Filter
Signals are automatically neutralized if trend strength (ADX) is below 18. This protects users from losing capital during sideways consolidation.
ATR-Dynamic Risk
Targets and stops are calculated using ATR, scaled by a sector-validated multiplier (see below). If the resulting Risk/Reward is below 1:1, the signal is suppressed.
Resolution Audit
Every signal is audited post-trade. We record return %, holding period, and Maximum Drawdown (MAE) to verify engine efficiency — that's the stat block above.
How Gate 03's Numbers Are Earned
The ATR multiplier behind every stop and target isn't hand-picked. It's the output of a walk-forward search that isn't allowed to see its own exam answers.
Train / test split
Candidate multipliers are grid-searched on a training period and never touch the test period until the search is over.
Pooled across a sector
Trades from every stock in a sector are combined per candidate — one symbol's lucky run can't pass as edge on its own.
Measured once
The winning candidate is chosen on training data alone, then scored on the test period exactly once — never re-picked by its test result.
Excluded, not hidden
A sector whose test performance doesn't hold up falls back to a conservative platform-wide default — visibly, below.
"Validated" means the sector's test-period performance generalized cleanly from training across all three horizons — CEMENT's medium-term result, for example, comes from 145 pooled training trades and 158 pooled test trades across every cement-sector symbol we track, not one stock's history. Excluded sectors aren't discarded, they run on the platform-wide baseline until a future cycle validates them.
This is a methodology snapshot from the most recent optimization cycle, not a performance projection. Historical validation does not guarantee future results.
The Alpha Toolkit
Hover or select a horizon to see the specific indicator snapshots used for that strategy.
Mean Reversion Logic
Uses 7-day hyper-reactive RSI and MACD variants. The engine scans for "overshoot" conditions where price has detached from the immediate 5-day mean.
Momentum Divergence
Mathematical comparison of price lows vs oscillator lows. Detects hidden institutional accumulation before the price action breaks out.
RVOL (Relative Volume)
Standard volume is ignored. We analyze Volume Ratio against the 20-day average to identify 'Institutional Absorption' days.
Volatility Sanitization
Automated clamping of data. Prevents indicator 'explosions' during massive price gaps to ensure technical accuracy remains stable.
EMA Slope Velocity
We don't just track crossovers. We track the 3-day rate of change of the trend lines. A 'Buy' is only issued if the trend is accelerating upward.
Trend Power (ADX)
The primary gatekeeper. If the trend strength score is below 18, the engine recognizes a 'Chop' environment and forces a Neutral status.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Measures the accumulation-distribution line. Signals whether the 'Smart Money' is entering or exiting the current medium-term trend.
ATR Supertrend
A volatility-adjusted trend confirmation layer that acts as a trailing stop-loss baseline for our 2-8 week calls.
Ichimoku Cloud Spans
Positioning is strictly governed by the Senkou spans. Price must be above the cloud to maintain a long-term 'Bullish' macro status.
PnF Supply/Demand
Time-independent Point & Figure charting. Identifies the exact box levels where demand has historically overtaken supply.
SMA 200 Anchor
The ultimate institutional benchmark. We track the distance between current price and the 200-day average to calculate risk-to-mean.
Efficiency Feedback
Long-term signals are measured against their Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) to prove holding safety over 6-12 month periods.